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First Viral Load Predicts

posted: 10/06/2010

The first viral load is a good predictor of how HIV may develop in each person, British researchers have found. That makes regular check-ups at a specialist HIV clinic important, especially if the person’s first viral load was above 10,000.
 

At each HIV clinic visit people have blood tests. Two of the most important are those which monitor the CD4 cell count and Viral Load .

The CD4 cell count gives a rough picture of the health of the immune system. The higher it is, the healthier the immune system.
 

Viral load measures how much HIV is circulating in the blood. Low Viral Loads are best – ideally when they can’t find any HIV in the bloodstream, because it is ‘undetectable’.
 

New UK research from London’s Royal Free Hospital has underlined that it is important to check both CD4 count and Viral Load regularly. Usually HIV clinics do this 3 or 4 times a year, sometimes more often.
 

Close relationship between Viral Load and CD4

The new study shows that there is a very close relationship between the viral load going up and the CD4 cell count falling. Exactly how this works hasn’t been clear to doctors and the investigators wanted to find out more.
 

First ever Viral Load - 'Baseline' - is good predictor

So they studied 1169 people for around 10 years. On average, CD4 cell counts fell by 66 each year. But the higher a person’s first ever viral load (often called the ‘baseline viral load’), the faster the person lost CD4 cells. And the more viral load increased from the ‘baseline’, the faster a person’s CD4 cell count fell.
 

10,000 or more

A person with HIV becomes vulnerable to potentially life-threatening illnesses when the CD4 cell count falls to around 200. The research showed that 96% of patients whose CD4 cell count fell to 200 had had a ‘baseline’ viral load above 10,000. And 86% of people whose CD4 count fell dangerously low, to around 50, started with their first viral load, the ‘baseline’ at 50,000 or so.
The researchers also found that falls in CD4 cell count predict increases in viral load.
 

“We show here that variability in CD4 cell count decline is linked more closely to viral replication than has previously been documented,” conclude the researchers.
 

Results help decide when to start treatment
This information may help people and their doctors decide when to start HIV treatment. If the first ever Viral Load, the 'baseline' was 10,000 or above, it makes even more sense to go for regular check-ups at the HIV clinic and to think seriously about starting treatment at a CD4 count of 350. Treatment should work better if it starts at 350, than if the CD4 count is allowed to fall below 350, before HIV treatment is started.

For more information on tests used to monitor health with HIV, you may find NAM’s booklet CD4, viral load and other tests helpful.
 

Source with reference


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